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20 Jun 2024

UK: HMRC publishes Tax Gap Analysis for 2022- 2023

UK: HMRC publishes Tax Gap Analysis for 2022- 2023

Tax Gap Estimated at 39,8 billion GBP for one year

TAXSPOC News Desk

The tax gap in the UK for the 2022 to 2023 tax year is estimated at 4.8% of total theoretical tax liabilities, equating to £39.8 billion.

This figure indicates that HMRC successfully collected 95.2% of all taxes due.

BREAKDOWN OF THE TAX GAP

  • Total Theoretical Tax Liabilities:823.8 billion for 2022 to 2023.
  • Headline Estimates:
    • The tax gap has steadily declined over the years, from 7.4% in 2005 to 2006 to 4.8% in 2022 to 2023.
    • The VAT gap decreased from 13.7% in 2005 to 2006 to 4.9% in 2022 to 2023.
    • Income Tax, National Insurance Contributions (NICs), and Capital Gains Tax gap fell from 4.5% in 2005 to 2006 to 3.0% in 2022 to 2023.
    • Corporation Tax gap increased from 11.4% in 2005 to 2006 to 13.9% in 2022 to 2023.
    • Excise duties gap reduced from 8.3% in 2005 to 2006 to 4.7% in 2022 to 2023.

KEY COMPONENTS

  • Corporation Tax and Income Tax/NICs/Capital Gains Tax: both represent a 34% share of the total tax gap.
  • VAT: Accounts for 20% of the total tax gap.
  • Small Businesses: Constitute the largest segment, responsible for 60% of the tax gap.
  • Wealthy Individuals and Other Individuals: Each contributes to 5% of the tax gap.

KEY TRENDS

  • VAT Gap: The most significant reduction among the tax gap components, decreasing from 13.7% in 2005 to 2006 to 4.9% in 2022 to 2023.
  • Corporation Tax Gap: Contrary to the general downward trend, the Corporation Tax gap increased from 11.4% in 2005 to 2006 to 13.9% in 2022 to 2023.
  • Excise Duties Gap: Exhibited a smaller decline, dropping from 8.3% in 2005 to 2006 to 4.7% in 2022 to 2023.
  • Income Tax, NICs, and Capital Gains Tax Gap: It remained relatively stable at around 4% throughout the period.
  • Other Taxes: A consistent tax gap of around 4% was maintained.

LONG-TERM TRENDS

Since the 2005 to 2006 tax year, there has been a noticeable long-term reduction in the percentage tax gap. This decline is a result of the tax gap growing at a slower rate compared to the increase in theoretical tax liabilities.

From 2005 to 2006 to 2022 to 2023, the absolute value of the tax gap increased by 23%, from £32.4 billion to £39.8 billion. In contrast, total theoretical tax liabilities surged by 88%, from £437.6 billion to £823.8 billion.

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

The tax gap estimates for 2021 to 2023 reflect higher absolute values due to significant year-on-year growth in theoretical tax liabilities. These grew approximately 15% each year: from £640.1 billion in 2020 to 2021 to £738.7 billion in 2021 to 2022, and reaching £823.8 billion in 2022 to 2023.

SOURCE/RECOMMENDED READ:

capital gains tax Corporation Tax Economic Trends Excise Duties Fiscal Policy HMRC Income Tax NICs Small Business Tax Tax Collection Tax Policy UK Economy UK Tax Gap

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